In a recent post, I reported the results of the Middlesex County GOP straw poll, and observed that Mayor Giuliani's support in that poll had dropped dramatically. In a new poll, for the first time, Rudy is not leading in NJ.
In a poll released this morning, Senator John McCain is leading in New Jersey. This is a disaster for the Giuliani campaign, which has no doubt been counting on NJ's 52 delegates. The Giuliani campaign employs some outstanding New Jersey people. His campaign manager is a gifted and devoted New Jersey Republican. One of his key field people, Amanda Gasperino, is a respected Republican operative.
New Jersey is key for Giuiliani. The campaign is desperate to keep NJ in Rudy's column. Indeed, one person recently asked to be a county coordinator for Rudy is actually a Fred Thompson voter. The request was an offer that the person couldn't refuse. Just another anecdote that indicates where Rudy stands in NJ.
All of this points to a McCain-Thompson show down.
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