There is a lot of hoopla about momentum and the importance of the early caucus of Iowa and the first in the nation primary in New Hampshire. But it is mostly air. Every state is important, and Fred treats every state with respect. Others candidates have essentially run campaigns that are tantamount to a campaign for governor of Iowa or governor of New Hampshire.
The fact is that there are more reporters and news cameras in both Iowa and New Hampshire than there are delegates.
The importance of New Hampshire is that it is now one of two major locations of the news media. When the delegate count starts, however, New Hampshire shrinks in stature, with a mere twelve.
Compare New Hampshire's twelve with some other Super Tuesday behemoths, where Fred is going to win. Georgia, where Fred enjoys a 2-1 lead over his nearest rival, sends 72 delegates. Fred's home state of Tennessee sends 55. Fred has held the lead in Colorado, which sends 46 and in Alabama, which sends 48.
From those states alone, Fred can win 221 delegates!
Once the bright lights leave New Hampshire and Iowa, their importance fades. Where is the victory if Mitt Romney, a governor from a neighboring state who has spent a small fortune on advertising in New Hampshire and a half a lifetime practicing retail politics there, wins New Hampshire with 33% of the vote? That will be worth, what, four delegates?
The delegate rules favor Fred. Fred is strongest in more heavily Republican states. According to the national rules, a state receives bonus delegates for having a Republican governor, for each Republican US Senator and if it cast its electoral votes for President Bush. Georgia earns twenty, for instance.
FredHeads everywhere should take heart in the numbers. Not the polling numbers out of Iowa or New Hampshire, but the numbers of delegates that Fred will win on February 5.
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